103m Nigerians may become poor in 2022 – World Bank
The World Bank has projected that a rough estimates of between 15 million and 20 million Nigerians will join the poverty rank by 2022.
The Bank disclosed this on Tuesday at the virtual launch of the 2021 Macroeconomic Outlook of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group, a private sector-led think-tank.
Speaking at the events one of invited guests, Dr Doyin Salami stressed that to prevent the unpleasant projection from becoming a reality the country needs to implement key reforms in order to get the economy out of the current doldrums and achieve sustainable inclusive growth,
Salami, who is the Chairman of the Presidential Economic Advisory Council, noted that country must do its level to get out of the current recession.
Speaking in a similar vein, the World Bank Senior Economist, Gloria Joseph-Raji attributed Nigeria’s current economic situation to the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Nigeria witnessed in 2020 its deepest recession since the 1980s and the second in five years.
But proffering solutions to the country’s current economic doldrums, Joseph-Raji advised those at the helm of affairs in Nigeria to push forward policies that help to improve the business environment and improve the welfare of the average Nigerian.
She said, “We actually consider Nigeria right now to be at a critical junction in the sense that the achievement of its development goal of lifting 100 million people out of poverty by 2030 was already challenging even before COVID-19 struck, and then COVID-19 has made this even more challenging and more urgent.
“So, with lower growth and fewer jobs, and then coupled with high inflation, our estimates are that the number of the poor will increase by about 15 to 20 million people by 2022 from the about 83 million people in 2019. And the 2019 numbers are from the Nigeria Living Standards Survey of 2018/2019.”
Joseph-Raji noted that the authorities had risen to the occasion and had taken some bold reforms in order to respond to the crisis.
She said they had tried to adopt a market-based mechanism for petroleum pricing and adjust electricity tariffs to more cost-reflective levels in order to free up fiscal resources.
“However, more needs to be done if Nigeria really wants to make progress towards meeting its broad development goals,” she added.
Joseph-Raji listed mobilising tax revenues in a way that does not negatively affect investments and growth, strengthening the management of monetary policies towards the primary objective of price stability and adopting more transparent and credible foreign exchange allocation as the key priorities for government.
“The outlook is very uncertain, and there is a need for the government to prioritise certain key policy reforms if Nigeria must really turn the corner and recover and rebuild resilient and inclusive growth,” she said.
On his part, Salami stressed the need for more investments in the country so as to achieve the desired growth.
He said, “If the economy is going to grow and people are going to feel it, then it is pretty clear that output growth must not only be rapid. We really do need to find ourselves in a position where this economy is growing at about six per cent, and to move in that direction requires significant investments.”